Miami Dolphins 2010 Season Preview
Football Betting Lines
08/17/2010 -
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - If the final week of October 2010 arrives, and the
attention of the South Florida sports fan is focused on the Miami Dolphins,
you'll know things are going very well for Tony Sparano's team.
If the Dolphins are, say, 3-3 after they host the Pittsburgh Steelers on Oct.
24th, that probably isn't going to cut it.
Two days later, the Miami Heat travel to meet the Boston Celtics to open what
many expect to be a momentous 2010-11 season for one of the most talented NBA
rosters ever assembled.
Chad Henne, Brandon Marshall and Karlos Dansby may have their own brand of
star power, but their collective Q rating is unlikely to be a match for that
of King James, D-Wade, and Chris Bosh.
All the Dolphins can hope to do is win enough football games to divert a
portion of the local attention. While the Miami brain trust of Bill Parcells,
Jeff Ireland and Sparano is hardly worried about the impact the stars of the
hardwood will have on the Dolphins' local profile, they have assembled a team
that they expect to be competitive well into the winter.
One season after orchestrating a 10-game turnaround that included an AFC East
title in 2008, Miami took a step back to 7-9 last year, and subsequently made
offseason moves to prevent further slippage.
On offense, a long-sought-after weapon was added when the team traded for the
Pro Bowl wideout Marshall, and the interior o-line was also tweaked.
Defensively, Parcells and Co. swapped out coordinator Paul Pasqualoni with
Mike Nolan, and brought in talent like Dansby, ex-Saints pass rusher Charles
Grant and rookies Jared Odrick and Koa Misi to turn around a flagging unit.
All of the moves were necessary for the Dolphins to stay competitive in a
division where the Jets are the league's media darlings heading into 2010, and
where the Patriots haven't had a losing season since Tom Brady was a rookie
reserve.
Though few are talking about the Fins in the expectant tones reserved for the
Heat, a couple of the right breaks could have the teams competing fiercely for
attention in the local papers.
For Sparano, the lack of headlines - and the disappointing way the 2009 season
unraveled - should have Miami eager to pile up wins and change perceptions
about the direction of this team. In fact, the Dolphins' motto this season is
"Feed the Wolf," and the consumable in this case is wins.
"I had a meeting with the group and kind of got into them a little bit during
that practice about 7-9 not being good enough and how this football team
shouldn't be fat," Sparano said early in training camp. "They should be
starving; they should be hungry and want to feed the wolf."
"From our end out here," Sparano continued, "we feed the wolf when we do
something good and that's what our guys understand. Small successes will lead
to bigger successes down the way."
Below we take a capsule look at the 2010 edition of the Miami Dolphins, with a
personnel evaluation and prognosis included therein:
2009 RECORD: 7-9 (3rd, AFC East)
LAST PLAYOFF APPEARANCE: 2008, lost to Baltimore, 27-9, in AFC Wild Card
COACH (RECORD): Tony Sparano (18-14 in two seasons with Dolphins, 18-14
overall)
OFFENSIVE COORDINATOR: Dan Henning
DEFENSIVE COORDINATOR: Mike Nolan
OFFENSIVE STAR: Brandon Marshall, WR (101 receptions, 1120 yards, 10 TD with
Denver)
DEFENSIVE STAR: Karlos Dansby, LB (109 tackles, 1 INT, 1 sack with Arizona)
OFFENSIVE TEAM RANKS: 4th rushing, 20th passing, 15th scoring
DEFENSIVE TEAM RANKS: 18th rushing, 24th passing, t25th scoring
KEY ADDITIONS: WR Brandon Marshall (from Broncos), G Richie Incognito (from
Bills), G John Jerry (3rd Round, Ole Miss), OL Cory Procter (from Cowboys), DL
Jared Odrick (1st Round, Penn State), DE Marques Douglas (from Jets), DE
Charles Grant (from Saints) LB Karlos Dansby (from Cardinals), OLB Koa Misi
(2nd Round, Utah), ILB Tim Dobbins (from Chargers), DB Kevin Hobbs (from
Lions)
KEY DEPARTURES: WR/RS Ted Ginn Jr. (to 49ers), G Justin Smiley (to Jaguars),
NT Jason Ferguson (retired), DE Phillip Merling (out for season/injured), OLB
Jason Taylor (to Jets), OLB Joey Porter (to Cardinals), LB Akin Ayodele (to
Broncos), LB Reggie Torbor (to Bills), CB Nathan Jones (to Broncos), S Gibril
Wilson (to Bengals)
QB: Though his first season as an NFL starter could not be called spectacular,
Henne (2878 passing yards, 12 TD, 14 INT) showed enough positives to suggest
that he can be a consistently capable signal-caller down the road. Henne went
7-6 after taking over for Chad Pennington four games into the 2009 campaign,
making the occasional mistakes you would expect of a 24-year-old quarterback
but also displaying general accuracy and leadership qualities. With a year
under his belt and Marshall in the fold as a bona fide No. 1 target, Henne
should take a step forward this season. The battle to back Henne up will be
between Pennington (413 passing yards, 1 TD, 2 INT) and Tyler Thigpen (83
passing yards, 1 TD, 2 INT), and may not be settled until late in the
preseason. Pennington is 34 and has 86 games worth of starting experience
in the NFL, but has also had three shoulder surgeries and can't be completely
counted on. Thigpen is athletic but is short on NFL experience and even
shorter on winning experience. Pat White (81 rushing yards), a second-round
pick in 2009, looks a failed experiment and could be asked to play wideout.
RB: One of the bright spots for the Dolphins in 2009 was the play of Ricky
Williams (1121 rushing yards, 35 receptions, 13 TD), who became the first back
in NFL history with five years between 1,000-yard seasons. Williams is 33 but
is still in outstanding condition, and will be a major part of the Fins' two-
back system again. The main component of that system, if he stays healthy,
will be Ronnie Brown (648 rushing yards, 8 TD, 14 receptions). Brown's 2009
season ended due to a foot injury suffered in mid-November, marking the second
time in the last three years the former No. 2 overall pick has failed to last
the year. Patrick Cobbs (36 rushing yards) comes off a major knee injury, but
if he recovers sufficiently, he should make the team ahead of Lex Hilliard (89
rushing yards, 20 receptions, 3 TD) due to his abilities on special teams.
Lousaka Polite (123 rushing yards, 11 receptions) appeared in all 16 games for
Miami at fullback last season, and is expected to remain in that role.
WR/TE: The Dolphins passing game lacked explosive outside options last season,
and that deficiency was something that Parcells and GM Jeff Ireland addressed
by dealing for Marshall. Marshall has had off-the-field problems and has never
been much of a team player, but it's hard to argue with his three consecutive
100-catch, 1,000-yard seasons. His presence should help free up the rest of
Miami's wideout group, which includes Davone Bess (76 receptions, 2 TD), Brian
Hartline (31 receptions, 3 TD), and Greg Camarillo (50 receptions). Look for
Hartline to win the job opposite Marshall, and for Bess to end up in the slot.
The Fins also have high hopes for Patrick Turner, a 2009 third-round pick who
appeared in just two games last season and did not have a catch. There are
some familiar names at tight end, where Anthony Fasano (31 receptions, 2 TD) ,
Joey Haynos (19 receptions, 2 TD), and Kory Sperry (3 receptions, 1 TD) all
return from last year's crew, and David Martin is back with the team after
missing all of last season with a knee injury.
OL: Though there is some uncertainty on the Miami offensive line, it's not on
the outside where tackles Jake Long (left side) and Vernon Carey (right side)
are firmly entrenched. Long has made the Pro Bowl in each of his first two
seasons, and Carey has not missed a start since 2005. Nate Garner, who started
eight games at guard last season, looks like the top tackle backup and will
also be in the mix at guard. There's a better chance the starting guards will
be brand new, however. The Dolphins signed the volatile but serviceable Richie
Incognito in free agency, and spent a third-round pick on mauler John Jerry.
Their presence spells trouble for 12-game 2009 starter Donald Thomas, and ex-
Cowboy Cory Procter is not a sure thing either. At center, Jake Grove and Joe
Berger split time as the starter last year, and are battling for the job again
in the preseason.
DL: The ability of the Dolphins defense to rebound from a disappointing 2009
will hinge largely on the development of a new-look three-man front. Following
the retirement of nose tackle Jason Ferguson and the loss of end Phillip
Merling for the season due to injury, the Fins must have players like nose
tackles Paul Soliai (25 tackles) and Randy Starks (56 tackles, 7 sacks), young
ends Jared Odrick (1st Round, Penn State) and Kendall Langford (43 tackles,
2.5 sacks), and incoming vets Marques Douglas (64 tackles, 1.5 sacks with the
Jets) and Charles Grant (44 tackles, 5.5 sacks with the Saints) converge to
form a reliable group. Starks and Odrick are both being asked to take on
different responsibilities than they've been accustomed to. As they go, so
might go this unit.
LB: In keeping with the general offseason demolition of the Miami front seven,
the linebacking corps will have a radical new look as well. Gone are outside
mainstays Joey Porter and Jason Taylor, while inside regulars Akin Ayodele and
Reggie Torbor have waved goodbye too. Inside linebacker Channing Crowder (51
tackles, 1 sack, 1 INT) is the lone starting holdover from this group, and
should love playing alongside Dansby. Dansby makes a ton of his plays and his
energy will offer an instant upgrade. Things are less certain on the outside,
where second-round rookie Koa Misi (Utah) is an unknown quantity and former
CFLer Cameron Wake (23 tackles, 5.5 sacks) is being asked to take on a much
larger role after a solid 2009 as a reserve. Holdovers Charlie Anderson (17
tackles, 2 sacks) and Quentin Moses (6 tackles, 1 sack) will have to beat out
ex-Lions bust Ikaika Alama-Francis for a reserve job on the outside. Former
Charger Tim Dobbins (53 tackles, 1 sack, 1 INT with San Diego) looks like the
No. 1 backup at ILB.
DB: Though their rank of 24th in NFL passing defense a year ago, might suggest
differently, the strength of the Miami defense entering 2010 could be in the
secondary. Corners Vontae Davis (52 tackles, 4 INT) and Sean Smith (39
tackles) are still learning, but did a credible job in '09 and should continue
to improve. At strong safety, Yeremiah Bell (114 tackles, 3 INT, 1.5 sacks)
made his first Pro Bowl last year and has appeared in all 16 games during
four of the past five seasons. The biggest question in the defensive backfield
is at free safety, where new coordinator Mike Nolan has to choose between
Chris Clemons (13 tackles) or promising fifth-round draft choice Reshad Jones
(Georgia). Tyrone Culver (32 tackles, 1 INT) is still around as well, but is
best utilized in a backup role. The corner depth is thin, with shaky former
first-rounder Jason Allen (22 tackles) and former Lion and Seahawk Kevin Hobbs
(32 tackles with the Lions) looking like the best options there at the moment.
Will Allen (21 tackles, 1 INT), who is coming off a knee injury, is uncertain
to be available for Week 1.
SPECIAL TEAMS: The Dolphins should be all set in the kicking game. Dan
Carpenter (25-28 FG) was among the league's most accurate kickers a year ago,
and Brandon Fields (46.3 avg.) was solid at punter. The departed Ted Ginn made
his biggest contribution as a Fin in the return game, but the team shouldn't
lose much sleep without him there. Davone Bess (7.5 punt return avg.) and
Patrick Cobbs (22.6 kickoff return avg.) look like the answer on punt returns
and kickoff returns, respectively. John Denney returns for his sixth season as
the Miami long snapper.
PROGNOSIS: For all of the expectations attached to the Jets, and to a lesser
extent the Patriots, this season, it's important to note that the Dolphins
went 3-1 against those teams (including a sweep of the Jets) last year. Though
the record reflects that this was a a 7-9 club in the end, Miami actually had
a 7-3 stretch of football at one point and was very much in the playoff hunt
before falling apart in the final three weeks. Against that backdrop, an
optimist might suggest that the Dolphins should be very much in the mix for
the 2010 AFC East title. A pessimist, though, will point to two separate
three-game losing streaks as evidence of how things seem to go south quickly
in Miami, and how a roster chock full of new faces doesn't necessarily lend
itself to consistent football. In a contentious division race, the needle
seems to lean closer to the Dolphins being on the outside of the postseason
looking in when all is said and done, but you can also bet on Sparano's squad
being a tough out each and every week.
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Big Ten Conference odds
Teams that should be in: Michigan State, Indiana
Work left to do: Illinois, Purdue, Michigan, Iowa
Behind the big two, the pecking order might be in a bit of flux. Has Michigan State passed Indiana after handling the Hoosiers in East Lansing? Where is Illinois in that mix? What looked like a four-big league last week could be morphing into five -- and even six is not unthinkable at this point if everything breaks right.
Should be in:
Michigan State [21-8 (8-6), RPI: 20, SOS: 15] The Spartans made it four-for-four on the homestand, a gigantic accomplishment that leaves them in extremely good shape. MSU is only 1-6 on the road and is at Michigan and at Wisconsin to close things out, meaning the date with the Wolverines on Tuesday looms very, very large. Beating Texas early will hold up well, as will the rout of Bradley and the win over BYU, but will 8-8 be enough? It very well could be, as the computer numbers are good, but why chance it?
Indiana [18-9 (8-6), RPI: 24, SOS: 32] Hmm ... good thing the last two are at Northwestern and home to Penn State, because IU might want to get both to feel completely safe after dropping its third in the last four, fading after halftime at Michigan State. Who knew the best nonconference win would be over Southern Illinois, which is a gift that keeps on giving for the Hoosiers. The win over Wisconsin also looks good on the mantel.
Work left to do:
Illinois [21-9 (9-6), RPI: 31, SOS: 25] A good performance at Penn State leaves the Illini in pretty good shape. Can they go to Iowa and take care of business to really look on their way? That's a huge game, as there is a possible cluster of teams that will end at 9-7. Illinois beat Bradley, but has lost to Xavier. A 9-7 mark and a semifinals trip in Chicago could be enough with the computer profile hanging in there, but it would be better not to mess around, clinching at least a tie for third.
Purdue [18-10 (7-7), RPI: 47, SOS: 28] Couldn't get it done at Iowa, but did win at Northwestern to put 9-7 squarely in sight. Where does that leave the Boilermakers, though? Even if they beat Minnesota and Northwestern at home, that won't help the computer numbers. Nonconference wins over Virginia, DePaul and Oklahoma are solid, but not spectacular. The Boilers very well might need an upset in the B10 quarters to have a legit claim.
Michigan [19-10 (7-7), RPI: 55, SOS: 53] Well, Michigan did what it needed to do, winning at Minnesota to take control of its fate. The Wolverines have Michigan State and an already-wrapped-up-the-league Ohio State at home to close, so the chances are there. Win both and we can talk. There is no marquee win yet in the profile, and the Wolverines were splattered in several games against name opponents. A mediocre computer profile fueled by a lack of road wins isn't helping, either.
Iowa [16-12 (8-6), RPI: 80, SOS: 64] For the sake of being complete, we'll add Iowa, this season's Stanford. It's plausible that the Hawkeyes could get to 10-6 (at Penn State, vs. Illinois left), but where does that leave them after a gruesome nonconference performance where the best win was over ... Toledo? Iowa State? Cornell?? If they get to 10-6, we can start to look at what they need to do in the B10 tourney, although my gut sense is that they would need to make the final and have knocked off Ohio State or Wisconsin on the way to have any real claim.
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